Cheesecake is a live forecasting system for the FIRST Robotics Competition.

Cheesecake uses a number of models to predict future results of FRC matches. It records these predictions as probabilities, which can be analyzed for accuracy and calibration.

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The underlying code for this website comes from Carl Colglazier (twitter).

Parts of the Elo model share similarities with the work of Caleb Sykes (github).

The entire project is open source.

Fun Numbers for Nerds

Brier: 0.19356224. Predicted 3249 / 4607 (71%) matches.